Question:Like I said before, I think 2 * HM + 15 should work at NYC
1."Should", based on what, your intuition never having run the course?
Your thorough crunching of the numbers?
I'm basing that mainly on my own experience on a range of
marathon courses, some easier than NYC, and some harder.
2.Which marathons harder than Grandfather have you done?
Answer:
1.Which marathons harder than Grandfather have you
done? BTW, I'm not including Grandfather in that list of races I've
"learned from". It wasn't a PR effort, so I wasn't pulling out all the
stops.
Let me be clear -- I'm no expert on marathons. Dan's the guy for that.
But I have trained and raced for a marathon PR on 3 different courses.
And I've had the big-city race experience in some big 10-milers (like
Army). I've done OK, and learned a few things along the way.
Here's what I don't get: I'm arguing that NYC is a typical "hard"
marathon, where a prepared runner can reasonably shoot for 2 * HM +
12-15 min. You (and Lance, especially) seem to be saying that it's
harder than that, some kind of special super-race. And yet you are
targeting 2 * HM + 12 for yourself. So is there some kind of logical
disconnect here?
2.True, I haven't run all 26 miles in one shot, but I've run 'em all in
two pieces.
You've got the 2 billion spectators, the hills, the elevation (air's
pretty thin atop the Verrazano), the crowds, the bad weather, the epic
quality of it all, etc. etc.
Here's what I don't get: I'm arguing that NYC is a typical "hard"
marathon, where a prepared runner can reasonably shoot for 2 * HM +
12-15 min.
Based on your assertion.
Please explain why so very few acheive this.
And yet you are targeting 2 * HM + 12 for yourself. So is there
some kind of logical disconnect here?